Evaluates the execution and price correction risk of any residential project.
Stress testing is the data driven model to measure the execution risk and price correction risk in a residential project. This helps an investor identify the risk in the project they are planning to invest in. The analytical model is based on data collected by primary survey by the Liases Foras team which measures sales and construction progress performance of 18,226 ongoing projects in 60 cities in India.
The execution risk measures the default probabilities in the timely execution of the project, following attributes are considered to measure the execution risk.
if the project is 100% complete, then the project has no execution risk.
A cumulative score that includes project’s Saleability, Technical soundness and Performance parameters.
if the project is 100% complete, then the project has no execution risk.
it measures the average quarterly construction in the last 12 months.
The ratio of existing average pace of construction in the project vs the pace required to complete the remaining construction.
Based on the stock sold and % completion of the project, the approximate receipt is assessed and measured against the average monthly construction cost of the project.
Price productivity of all projects by the developer.
Delays in the past performance of the developer.
The assessment is carried out for the entire portfolio of the developer. It is an aggregation of four attributes.
This shows the current construction progress of all the projects and assesses whether the developer is over committed or not.
Price correction risk measures the probability and degree of price correction in a project, following attributes are considered for price correction risk (PCR).
The saleability of the project is measured from its price efficiency, product efficiency and attained sales velocity against its catchment.
The % average monthly sales registered by the project.
The saleability of the project is measured from its price efficiency, product efficiency and attained sales velocity against its catchment.
The % average monthly sales registered by the project.
The saleability of the project is measured from its price efficiency, product efficiency and attained sales velocity against its catchment.
The % average monthly sales registered by the project.
Ideal value of 2.08% has been considered, suggesting a sales gestation of 48 months (4 years).
It is the habitability index divided by the size of the inventory. The ideal inventory is 1.25 times of the annual sales.
It is based on location level attributes that represent the health and efficiency of the market in a specific micro market or region.
Also known as inventory overhang, the ideal value is 15 months.
Ideal value of 2.08% has been considered, suggesting a sales gestation of 48 months (4 years).
It is the habitability index divided by the size of the inventory. The ideal inventory is 1.25 times of the annual sales.
Each attribute carries the worst and highest scoring, worst being 0 and highest being 10 or 100. Then for each attribute, we measure the Euclidean distance from the worst case, farther the project scores from the worst scores, better the project rating.
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